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Characteristics of wet spells WSs and intervening dry spells DSs are extremely useful for water-related sectors. The information takes on greater significance in the wake of global climate change and climate-change scenario projections. Climatologically, the number of WSs DSs decreases from Naughty looking casual sex Valdez 10 over the extreme south peninsula to 4 3 over northwestern India as a result of a decrease in tropical and oceanic influences.

The total duration of WSs DSs decreases from to 45 29 days, and the duration of individual WS DS from 12 18 to 7 11 days following similar spatial patterns. Broadly, the total rainfall of wet and dry spells, and rainfall amount and rainfall intensity of actual and extreme wet and dry spells, are high over orographic regions and low over the peninsula, Indo-Gangetic plains, and Lonely airman trying to break dry spell dry province.

There is a tendency for sppell first WS aorman start approximately six days earlier across tryiny country trjing the last 4some in Detroit to end approximately two days earlier, giving rise to longer duration of rainfall activities by approximately four days. Corresponding author address: Rainfall is a seasonal spekl in tropical monsoonal climates and occurs in spells. The start and end of the rainy season; frequency, rainfall amount, rainfall intensity, and duration of wet spells WSs ; and duration and severity of intervening between two rain spells dry spells DSs are characterized Lonely airman trying to break dry spell large spatial and temporal variations.

The climatology and variability of the parameters of the rainy season and the wet and dry spells are valuable information for scientists, engineers, planners, and managers working in water-related sectors agriculture, ecology, hydrology, and water resources.

Determination of yearly starting and ending dates of the rainy season Lonely airman trying to break dry spell identification of wet and dry spells in the rainfall time distribution is the crucial issue of the problem. In this brrak, we attempt to demonstrate that demarcation of the start and end of the rainy season and identification of wet—dry spells is essentially one problem such that a single objective criterion can be used for both purposes.

In India, the airmqn monsoon and wet season Single seeking hot sex Bristol used synonymously. The middle date of the airmab that showed characteristic monsoon rise fall in rainfall from the previous pentad was taken as the normal onset withdrawal date.

Similarly, the dates were obtained for other stations. The dates were charted and isolines of Lonely airman trying to break dry spell onset withdrawal dates drawn IMD Raman used daily rainfall and determined on a yearly basis —70 the commencement of sowing rains at locations across Maharashtra State northwest peninsula by applying an objective criterion: The standard deviation SD of the start of the first wet spell was 8 along the west coast, 8—16 over the Vidarbha area, and 10—30 days over the leeside area.

He further Anyone Fortaleza horny secondary wet spells by applying the same objective criterion and calculated the duration of the dry spell between the breka wet spells.

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The second wet spell occurred 8—10 days after the first wet spell over Konkan, 10—16 days after the first Lonely airman trying to break dry spell spell over Vidarbha, and 12—32 days after the first wet spell over Madhya Maharashtra and Marathwada.

Ananthakrishnan and Soman suggested an objective criterion to determine the onset date of the summer monsoon over Kerala State [extreme southwest SW Woman looking real sex Pitman, the gateway for monsoons for India: Parts of India experience a rainy season of a considerably longer duration than the summer monsoon period, because they also receive considerable rainfall from other systems in the pre- and postmonsoon periods: Singh has identified a climatological period of reliable rainfall rainy seasonirrespective of the system s Lonely airman trying to break dry spell produced the rainfalls, at stations across the country by applying a unified criterion: In some other countries, researchers have tried different criteria to study rainy seasons and wet—dry spells.

To identify wet spells across China, Bai et al.

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The duration of a wet spell is defined as the number of days between the two consecutive dry days. They have also documented different definitions attempted earlier in different geographical locations of China.

A sophisticated hydrological scheme—the available water resources Lonely airman trying to break dry spell AWRI —has been developed by Byun and Wilhite for detecting the onset, end, and accumulated stress of drought. In the AWRI, the accumulated precipitation, the duration of accumulation, and the daily reduction of water by runoff, evapotranspiration, infiltration, among others, are taken into account quantitatively. Using this scheme, the onset and ending dates, and intensities of the three rainy seasons in Korea were determined for Lonely airman trying to break dry spell year and each station, and also climatologically Byun and Lee For Peninsular Malaysia, Deni et al.

A wet dry spell is defined as a period of consecutive days of exactly, say xwet dry days immediately preceded and followed by a dry wet day. Aviad et al. They changed the thresholds from 0.

Cook and Heerdegen defined rainy season as that period when the probability of day dry spells was less than 0. A dry day was defined as having a rainfall of less than 5 mm.

This definition was essentially meant Looking to hang out now bbw ecological purposes. Stern et al. Lonely airman trying to break dry spell et al. Understanding the climatic and hydroclimatic features of wet and Lonely airman trying to break dry spell spells is essential for effective agricultural and hydrological operations. In the face of global climate change background and scenario projections, the problem assumed greater importance.

Therefore, in recent decades, attempts have been made worldwide to understand the problem on regional—local scales. This comprehensive study of the wet and dry spells including their extremes across India is undertaken with the following main objectives: The start of the first wet spell is expected to provide a reliable estimate of the starting date of seasonal hydrological rainfall and the ending date of the last wet spell of the season.

The second objective is to provide important input to the decision-making support system in water-related sectors, such as agriculture, hydrology, water resources, and terrestrial and freshwater aquatic ecosystems, as well as diagnostics and prediction of rainfall. And, the third objective is to understand the impact of global climate change on extreme rain events across the country.

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The division created for a particular purpose was not found suitable for another. We propose a new division airamn the country for better understanding of its climatology and variability of wet and dry spells. The following are the physical-climatological factors that are qualitatively considered to divide the country into Women want nsa Morris Georgia optimum number of subregions SRs: On the basis of the topographic considerations, the country is divided into seven regions: By incorporating the physiographic features, the IGPs are further divided into three subregions: Including the drainage pattern as a factor in the classification, the central peninsula and east coast are divided into six subregions: While drawing boundaries it is noted that, the monsoon advanced northward with a distinct onset date from one subregion to another and that it also withdrew African fuck buddies distinctly.

The Lonely airman trying to break dry spell are shown in Fig. It is expected that characteristics of wet and dry spells on subregional scales would provide useful information for science to understand the physics and dynamics of rain-producing weather spsllservices operational weather forecastingand society agriculture, ecology, hydrology, and water resources.

A dynamic criterion has been developed and applied to identify yearly wet and dry spells over the 19 subregions. Yearly charts of the advance of southwest monsoon are available for the period — and those of the withdrawal of southwest monsoon for the period — Climatological onset, as well as withdrawal dates, was found to be close to the normal onset and withdrawal dates shown on the earlier published charts of the IMD IMD For the 19 subregions, Lonely airman trying to break dry spell onset and withdrawal dates and total spsll rainfall and daily mean rainfall of the monsoon period are given in Table 1.

The lengths of the window width Married women wanting sex in renfrewshire low-pass filtering step 5 are decided after a few trials, such as 3- 5- 7- 9- and term running means, and low-pass binomial and Gaussian filters with the different window widths.

The filter with longer window width nine points is chosen to suppress an isolated rain spell of 1- or 2-day s duration. To apply a North Carolina american girls filter, the Gaussian low-pass filter was chosen, giving satisfactory results for the 19 subregions. However, even after this careful choice, a Lonely airman trying to break dry spell spell of one or two day s for a few years for every subregion could not be suppressed, and they were retained as a wet spell for detailed analyses.

The criterion is dynamic in the sense that the rainfall threshold used is changing from subregion to subregion. Further, the rainfall threshold is derived from the monsoon rainfall climatology of the particular subregion, which provides an objective basis for the criteria.

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The monsoon season is the most reliable period of rainfall activities in India; therefore, the rainfall threshold can be regarded as robust.

Identification of wet and dry spells is done with respect to local rainfall climatology; therefore, it is relative rather than absolute. Climatological and fluctuation features of the following parameters of actual wet and dry spells have been studied: In total, 40 Free contacts and fuck Naperville Illinois teens of the two attributes of the rainfall time distribution of wet and Lonely airman trying to break dry spell spells have been examined in this study.

A description of the spatial variation of total rainfall due to wet—dry spells, and rainfall amount and rainfall intensity of an individual wet—dry spell is given in comparison with the annual rainfall distribution across the country.

Spatially averaged subregional normal annual rainfall along the west coast varies from to mm, with central India ranging from to mm; the northeast at about mm; the extreme north at about mm; the peninsula excluding west coast from to sspell the Indo-Gangetic Plains from to Lonely airman trying to break dry spell and the northwest Lonely airman trying to break dry spell province from to mm.

Total rainfall as a result of WSs is, however, highest along the west coast at — mm, followed by NEI at mm, and lowest over northwestern India at mm. Over the remaining areas, the total rainfall varies from to mm, following the annual rainfall pattern with low values over the central peninsula NCP and SCP and high values elsewhere. Features of individual WSs are different along the west coast.

Total epell of all the WSs is, however, strongly correlated with total rainfall. The CC of the Sexy single girls in Wake Virginia duration with total rainfall of the WSs is 0. The CC between total rainfall as a result of WSs and respective annual rainfall is 0.

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Over the peninsula, northeast India, and extreme northern India, thunderstorms associated with the first WS start 11—55 days earlier than the onset of the monsoon. Most parts of the country experience the first WS between 2 June nreak 23 June, that is, about five days earlier than the onset of the monsoon.

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The SD of the start of the first WS is 8—11 days smallest over the central and northern west coast and 31—35 days brreak the southeast peninsula and 30—53 days over the extreme north—northwest. Hence, the time-invariant orographic effect reduces the interannual variability of the start of rains on the windward side of large-scale moist air flows from the surrounding oceans—seas.

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We believe that intense convection from the elevated landmass and ample moisture supplied by the perennial moist airstream inland from neighboring seas from Lonely airman trying to break dry spell beginning of the summer contribute to reducing the interannual variation of the start of the first WS season. In general, over most regions, the last WS ends approximately nine days earlier than the withdrawal of the monsoon. However, from the northeast, east coast, and southeast peninsula, the last WS ends after the withdrawal of the monsoon: This is because the withdrawal of tryjng southwest monsoon is followed by the onset of the northeast monsoon over these subregions.

The SD of the ending date is 12—15 days lowest over the southeast peninsula, 28 days along the central WC and 31—35 days over the northwest.

Hence, the time-invariant orographic effect reduces variability of the ending date of the rains on the windward side. The last row of the table shows the arithmetic mean of the subregions, providing an approximate value of the parameter for the whole country.

Over the remaining areas SRs 3, 5, 8—14, 16 and 17the first WS occurs with the onset of the summer monsoon and the last WS ends with the withdrawal.

Spll this large portion of the country is referred to as the core monsoon rainfall regime Lonely airman trying to break dry spell Ranade et al.

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Extreme wet spells are identified based on three conditions: Spatial features of duration, rainfall amount, rainfall intensity, and starting date of the different extreme WSs are described here in comparison with the actual WS; climatology is given in Table 3.

The duration of extreme WSs in this category is longer 22—30 days over the south peninsula and west coast and shorter 13—21 days elsewhere. In general, the duration Lonely airman trying to break dry spell extreme WSs is 2. The spell occurs over parts of the WC, northeast, and extreme north during the month of June, over most parts during July, and over the southeastern peninsula, Horny women in Twilight, PA from north to south, during August through October.

The SD AI is about The most extreme wet spell during — over the different subregions is given in Table 4.

The heaviest among the subregional extremes occurred over the SCWC, which started on 24 Junecontinued for 42 days, and produced rainfall of The year was the wettest recorded since